Monday, April 7, 2014

4.7 Random Sampling

Today's (limited) sample of games i'm keeping my eye on:

Angels (Wilson) vs. Astros (Cosart)

The irrational over-reaction to the first week for the Angels is that they are expensive, old & under-achieving (except for Mike Trout of course). The Angels are starting C.J. Wilson. Hopefully he's spent as much time preparing for this start as he has spent on those Head & Shoulders commercials.

The irrational over-reaction to the Astros first week is that maybe this is the year where they stop being terrible and some of the minor league talent they have been assembling over the last few years starts putting up major league numbers. Jarred Cosart makes his 12th career start today. One thing that has been concealed  by playing for a bad team is that Cosart has been very, very good so far (1.80 ERA/225 ERA+).

Indians (Kluber) vs. Padres (Erlin)

The irrational over-reaction to the Indians first week is that while they're not as terrible as they were before Terry Francona came to town, they may have taken a step back from last year.

The irrational over-reaction to the Padres first week is that any hopes of them being a surprise contender in the NL West is gone, gone, gone.

Royals (Vargas) vs. Rays (Moore)

The irrational over-reaction to the Royals is that they can't win close games and that is going to prevent them from having their second consecutive winning season and thus hoping to contend in what has been a Detroit dominated AL Central.

The irrational over-reaction to the Rays first week is that the AL East is struggling but the Rays are (slightly) going to be ahead of the curve.


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