Wednesday, July 23, 2014

7/23/14 Zeplen Dean Rankings

I've gone through and done the most recent Zeplen Dean Rankings for batters. Data for this is through yesterday's games (7/22/14).

One tweak I made was to have the Zeplen Dean Score be adjusted to 100 for the #1 player.

For example, the score (if done by prior standards last week) was 83.3 for the #1 player on the list (Mike Trout). I got this by adding projected runs, home runs, rbi & stolen bases and multiplied this by their projected batting average. The line in this example is as follows:

.312/108 R/33 HR/103 RBI/24 SB

I then took 1.20048 (100 divided by 83.3) and used this to multiply everyone else's scores.

The criteria to get on this list is at least 160 plate appearances in 2014 which currently gives us 301 players.

The Current Top 10 List Is As Follows:

1-Mike Trout
2-Jose Abreu
3-Miguel Cabrera
4-Ryan Braun
5-Victor Martinez
6-Nelson Cruz
7-Torii Hunter
8-David Ortiz
9-Billy Hamilton
10-Carlos Gonzalez

Note: Troy Tulowitzki & Edwin Encarnacion would be on the top 10 list if they were not currently on the disabled list.

The Bottom 10 List is as Follows:

292-Ed Lucas
293-Luis Valbuena
294-Andrew Romine
295-Tyler Flowers
296-Nick Punto
297-A.J. Ellis
298-Ruben Tejada
299-Adeiny Hechavarria
300-Stefen Romero
301-Jose Molina

The average Zeplen Dean Score in this sample is 54.7, a score that currently belongs to Justin Ruggiano. The projected line that got him this ranking is as follows:

.249/77 R/19 HR/75 RBI/13 SB

Replacement level (120th place in a 12 team fantasy league with 10 active offense spots is 57.0 and belongs to Lorenzo Cain. Since he's injury prone and does not get consistent playing time, this may not be the best example but his projected line is as follows:

.267/68 R/8 HR/77 RBI/25 SB

Other Zeplen Dean Score Thresholds are as follows:

90

Players Above this Mark: 5
Player Closest to this Total Without Going Below: Ryan Braun
Projected Line: .305/97 R/ 28 HR/ 107 RBI/ 20 SB

80

Players at or above this total: 15
Player Exactly at this total: Albert Pujols
Projected Line: .292/90 R/31 HR/99 RBI/7 SB

70

Players at or above this total: 39
Player at this total: Jose Bautista
Projected Line: .249/ 99 R/34 HR/94 RBI/ 7 SB

60

Players at or above this total: 94
Player at this total: Curtis Granderson
Projected Line: .238/89 R/28 HR/ 79 RBI/14 SB

50

Players at or above this total: 179
Player closest to this total (50.1) without being below: Rickie Weeks
Projected Line: .238/ 84 R/16 HR/ 63 RBI/ 12 SB

40

Players at or above this total: 266
Player closest to this total without being below (40.3) Andrleton Simmons
Projected Line: .249/61 R/11 HR/57 RBI/ 5 SB

30

Players at or above this total: 297
Player closest to this total without being below (30.7) Ruben Tejada
Projected Line: .238/57 R/ 3 HR/ 44 RBI/ 4 SB

20
Players at or above this total: Everyone
Player closest to this total without being below (and leading candidate in the Yuni award for worst offensive player in the MLB: Jose Molina (22.4)

If he somehow got 650 plate appearances his line would look like this:

.219/31 R/ 5 HR/ 40 RBI/ 9 SB