Kolten Wong:
Gone on an absolute tear. Headed into the all-star break he had hits in six consecutive games (with four homers during this same stretch with two of these coming against the Brewers (grrrh).
What's His Zeplen Dean Score:
56.20
This total places him right below Joey Votto and right above Anthony Rendon. His average/OBP numbers are pretty uninspiring .242/.299 but this primarily is dragged down by a .248 BABIP. My instinct is that he is too fast of a runner for his BABIP and thus is average to stay that low for an extended period of time.
Adjusting for this, I think his average going forward will likely be in the .290 range. His projection over 650 plate appearances in the Zeplen Dean system is as follows:
.293/.350/..393 70R 17 HR 68 RBI 38 SB
Last year, (including the minors) he had 525 plate appearances, adjusting for this, i'm thinking Wong's final numbers would be along the lines of:
.293, 56 R, 14 HR, 55 RBI, 31 SB
Analysis:
While his perceived value is a bit inflated due to his recent power surge, in some ways I think his value is under-rated due to a batting average that is being suppressed by BABIP. Based on a combination of this improving at some point, a consistent source of stolen bases and the occasional home run, I think Wong will produce plenty of value for fantasy owners looking to upgrade at second base while also making me nervous at the same time as he's inevitably going to make clutch plays that will increase the challenge of the Brewers mission to hold of the Cardinals (along with the Pirates & Reds) for the NL Central crown.
Information, Numbers referenced found on fangraphs.com
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