Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Zeplen Dean Projections: First Base

So, i've managed to get through the rankings for the First Basemen in the BETA version of the Zeplen Dean Projection System. A few observations

--One that i'm not too surprised on is that the ratings are higher for first basemen due to it being a more offense oriented position

--For Catchers, nobody had a rating score above 60. In comparison, 8 first basemen had a score above 60

--I haven't quite figured out how to mix season and career totals for players such as Jose Abreu who had no prior MLB experience to this season. Once I get this figured out, I still think he has a strong total but not sure he maintains his number one ranking.

With these disclaimers out of the way, my yet to be comprehensive rankings for future value are as follows


The Best:

1-Jose Abreu (81.49)

Elite: >70

2-Albert Pujols
3-Victor Martinez

Career numbers may be factoring too much in the beta version, this helps Pujols here (and Teixeira at #4) and was the inverse of what moved Yadier Molina much further expected in the beta version of the Zeplen Dean System.

Note: Miguel Cabrera is going to be in the third basemen rankings, so far i'm keeping it to one position per player

Not quite Elite but still solid (60-69)

4-Mark Teixeira
5-Edwin Encarnacion
6-Paul Goldschmidt
7-C.J. Cron
8-Justin Morneau

Same problem with Abreu applies to Cron, I think he's a solid player but probably over-rated in this system.

Decent but not Great Options (50-59)

9-Brandon Moss
10-Freddie Freeman
11-Adam LaRoche
12-Chris Davis
13-Matt Adams
14-Ryan Howard
15-Joey Votto
16-Adrian Gonzalez
17-Anthony Rizzo
18-Mark Reynolds

I'm a bit surprised that Votto was ranked this low but it appears he's dragged down from lower power numbers so far in 2014

Could Definitely Do Better (40-49)

19-Michael Morse
20-Steve Pearce
21-Mike Napoli
22-Joe Mauer
23-James Loney
24-Garrett Jones
25-Billy Butler
26-Carlos Santana
27-Adam Dun
28-Eric Hosmer

Pick Anyone else off the Wire <40

29- Nick Swisher

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