Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Musings, Ramblings & Other Stuff: Stephen Vogt

Stephen Vogt:

What He's Done To Get Picked Up:

Despite going 0 for 4 on Sunday, he has been red hot getting hits in 11 consecutive games which has helped raise his batting average to .358 and has also allowed for him to get consistent playing time.

What's His Zeplen Dean Score:

48.08 which places him right behind Salvador Perez and ahead of Pedro Alvarez.

What to Expect Going Forward:

Well for starters, he's not going to hit .358 all year as this total has been aided by an unsustainable .376 BABIP. While his projected full-season numbers (650 plate appearances) aren't off the charts good, his eligibility at Catcher does give him added value. His 650 PA projection is as follows.

.280/.335/.503 63 R 20 HR 88 RBI 6 SB

In 2011-2013, including the minors he had 489 plate appearances. If we adjust the numbers based on this, Vogt could have a line looking like this:

.280/15 HR/67 RBI/5 SB

While his career walk rate is at 5.5%, this along with his OBP could be going up as we go forward. In looking at the plate discipline data available in Fangraphs,  this data indicates that there have been decreases in how often he swings at pitches (both outside the strike zone and overall). While Vogt is eligible at three positions (Catcher, First Base & Outfield) the bulk of his value is going to be in his Catcher eligibility where he appears to be able to an acceptable amount of power and a decent batting average (even after his BABIP brings his batting average back to normal).

Since the Athletics are known to platoon and move players in and out of the lineup (that seems to push the right buttons more often than not), if you pick up Vogt one thing to keep a close eye on are if they are moving him out of the lineup for any given day.


All numbers, information used found on fangraphs.com

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